In politics, they say there are no permanent friends or enemies. This is the poignant statement that Prof Makau Mutua in his weekly column published by Sunday Standard has laboured to illustrate.
Times are getting tough for deputy president William Ruto who the International Criminal Court (ICC) seems to have t ightened its case against him when they allowed
recanted statements to be used as evidence by the prosecutor.
It is reported that Ruto has gone into a panic mode with this development, and Mutua doesn’t seem to be making
it easier for him while advancing his theories on why Uhuru may drop him altogether.
Here are Mutua’s reasons.
1. Ruto no longer commands the Kalenjin vote which has been his key bargaining chip.
“… Ruto was only useful to Kenyatta as the Kalenjin kingpin. But alas, Ruto’s reign atop the Kalenjin
Nation has become wobbly, ” he writes saying that the dynamics of the Kalenjin politics have fast shifted
with governor Isaac Rutto becoming a key threat to Ruto.
2. President Barack Obama’s visit proved that Kenyatta does not need Ruto.
“.. Kenyatta kept Ruto largely closeted, although he did let him out on several occasions to meet K’Ogelo’s
most famous scion .”
3. With Kenyatta no longer wanted by the ICC , Ruto is now seen as ‘a liability’ and paints a bad image to the former.
“ Ruto’s ICC woes make him a liability — a diplomatic embarrassment — to Kenyatta. Going to the ballot in
2017 with Ruto is akin to taking a malaria-ravaged patient to the battlefield. It would be foolhardy for
Mr Kenyatta to go to war with a lame duck. “
4. No one wants Ruto to become president in 2022.
“Ruto has served his purpose for Kenyatta. He can now be discarded. It’s like the law of gravity —
whatever goes up must come down. Politics is a utilitarian game, not a sport of sentimentality. The coalition of Kenyatta and Ruto is limping to the finish line — 2017 — and they both know it. Don’t be fooled by public expressions of fidelity to each other.
It’s over — gone and done with. It’s time for divorce — coming soon,” Mutua writes in closing remarks.
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